Predictive markers related to local and systemic inflammation in severe COVID-19-associated ARDS: a prospective single-center analysis.

BACKGROUND: As the COVID-19 pandemic strains healthcare systems worldwide, finding predictive markers of severe courses remains urgent. Most research so far was limited to selective questions hindering general assumptions for short- and long-term outcome. METHODS: In this prospective single-center biomarker study, 47 blood- and 21 bronchoalveolar lavage (BAL) samples were collected from 47 COVID-19 intensive care unit (ICU) patients upon admission. Expression of inflammatory markers toll-like receptor 3 (TLR3), heme oxygenase-1 (HO-1), interleukin (IL)-6, IL-8, leukocyte counts, procalcitonin (PCT) and carboxyhemoglobin (CO-Hb) was compared to clinical course. Clinical assessment comprised acute local organ damage, acute systemic damage, mortality and outcome after 6 months. RESULTS: PCT correlated with acute systemic damage and was the best predictor for quality of life (QoL) after 6 months (r = - 0.4647, p = 0.0338). Systemic TLR3 negatively correlated with impaired lung function (ECMO/ECLS: r = - 0.3810, p = 0.0107) and neurological short- (RASS mean: r = 0.4474, p = 0.0023) and long-term outcome (mRS after 6 m: r = - 0.3184, p = 0.0352). Systemic IL-8 correlated with impaired lung function (ECMO/ECLS: r = 0.3784, p = 0.0161) and neurological involvement (RASS mean: r = - 0.5132, p = 0.0007). IL-6 in BAL correlated better to the clinical course than systemic IL-6. Using three multivariate regression models, we describe prediction models for local and systemic damage as well as QoL. CO-Hb mean and max were associated with higher mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Our predictive models using the combination of Charlson Comorbidity Index, sex, procalcitonin, systemic TLR3 expression and IL-6 and IL-8 in BAL were able to describe a broad range of clinically relevant outcomes in patients with severe COVID-19-associated ARDS. Using these models might proof useful in risk stratification and predicting disease course in the future. Trial registration The trial was registered with the German Clinical Trials Register (Trial-ID DRKS00021522, registered 22/04/2020).

Pervasive Platelet Secretion Defects in Patients with Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2).

Critically ill COVID-19 patients suffer from thromboembolic as well as bleeding events. Endothelial dysfunction, spiking of von Willebrand factor (vWF), and excessive cytokine signaling result in coagulopathy associated with substantial activation of plasmatic clotting factors. Thrombocytopenia secondary to extensive platelet activation is a frequent finding, but abnormal platelet dysfunction may also exist in patients with normal platelet counts. In this study, we performed analyses of platelet function and of von Willebrand factor in critically ill COVID-19 patients (n = 13). Platelet aggregometry was performed using ADP, collagen, epinephrin, and ristocetin. VWF and fibrinogen binding of platelets and CD62 and CD63 expression after thrombin stimulation were analyzed via flow cytometry. In addition, VWF antigen (VWF:Ag), collagen binding capacity (VWF:CB), and multimer analysis were performed next to routine coagulation parameters. All patients exhibited reduced platelet aggregation and decreased CD62 and CD63 expression. VWF binding of platelets was reduced in 12/13 patients. VWF:CB/VWF:Ag ratios were pathologically decreased in 2/13 patients and elevated in 2/13 patients. Critically ill COVID-19 patients exhibit platelet secretion defects independent of thrombocytopenia. Platelet exhaustion and VWF dysfunction may result in impaired primary hemostasis and should be considered when treating coagulopathy in these patients.

Navigating hospitals safely through the COVID-19 epidemic tide: Predicting case load for adjusting bed capacity.

BACKGROUND: The pressures exerted by the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic pose an unprecedented demand on healthcare services. Hospitals become rapidly overwhelmed when patients requiring life-saving support outpace available capacities. OBJECTIVE: We describe methods used by a university hospital to forecast case loads and time to peak incidence. METHODS: We developed a set of models to forecast incidence among the hospital catchment population and to describe the COVID-19 patient hospital-care pathway. The first forecast utilized data from antecedent allopatric epidemics and parameterized the care-pathway model according to expert opinion (ie, the static model). Once sufficient local data were available, trends for the time-dependent effective reproduction number were fitted, and the care pathway was reparameterized using hazards for real patient admission, referrals, and discharge (ie, the dynamic model). RESULTS: The static model, deployed before the epidemic, exaggerated the bed occupancy for general wards (116 forecasted vs 66 observed), ICUs (47 forecasted vs 34 observed), and predicted the peak too late: general ward forecast April 9 and observed April 8 and ICU forecast April 19 and observed April 8. After April 5, the dynamic model could be run daily, and its precision improved with increasing availability of empirical local data. CONCLUSIONS: The models provided data-based guidance for the preparation and allocation of critical resources of a university hospital well in advance of the epidemic surge, despite overestimating the service demand. Overestimates should resolve when the population contact pattern before and during restrictions can be taken into account, but for now they may provide an acceptable safety margin for preparing during times of uncertainty.

Cytokine levels associated with favorable clinical outcome in the CAPSID randomized trial of convalescent plasma in patients with severe COVID-19.

Objectives: To determine the profile of cytokines in patients with severe COVID-19 who were enrolled in a trial of COVID-19 convalescent plasma (CCP). Methods: Patients were randomized to receive standard treatment and 3 CCP units or standard treatment alone (CAPSID trial, ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04433910). The primary outcome was a dichotomous composite outcome (survival and no longer severe COVID-19 on day 21). Time to clinical improvement was a key secondary endpoint. The concentrations of 27 cytokines were measured (baseline, day 7). We analyzed the change and the correlation between serum cytokine levels over time in different subgroups and the prediction of outcome in receiver operating characteristics (ROC) analyses and in multivariate models. Results: The majority of cytokines showed significant changes from baseline to day 7. Some were strongly correlated amongst each other (at baseline the cluster IL-1ß, IL-2, IL-6, IL-8, G-CSF, MIP-1α, the cluster PDGF-BB, RANTES or the cluster IL-4, IL-17, Eotaxin, bFGF, TNF-α). The correlation matrix substantially changed from baseline to day 7. The heatmaps of the absolute values of the correlation matrix indicated an association of CCP treatment and clinical outcome with the cytokine pattern. Low levels of IP-10, IFN-γ, MCP-1 and IL-1ß on day 0 were predictive of treatment success in a ROC analysis. In multivariate models, low levels of IL-1ß, IFN-γ and MCP-1 on day 0 were significantly associated with both treatment success and shorter time to clinical improvement. Low levels of IP-10, IL-1RA, IL-6, MCP-1 and IFN-γ on day 7 and high levels of IL-9, PDGF and RANTES on day 7 were predictive of treatment success in ROC analyses. Low levels of IP-10, MCP-1 and high levels of RANTES, on day 7 were associated with both treatment success and shorter time to clinical improvement in multivariate models. Conclusion: This analysis demonstrates a considerable dynamic of cytokines over time, which is influenced by both treatment and clinical course of COVID-19. Levels of IL-1ß and MCP-1 at baseline and MCP-1, IP-10 and RANTES on day 7 were associated with a favorable outcome across several endpoints. These cytokines should be included in future trials for further evaluation as predictive factors.

[Subjective well-being and ability to work after SARS-CoV-2 immunization with the vector vaccine ChAdOx1-S (AstraZeneca COVID-19 vaccine)]. / Subjektives Befinden und Arbeitsfähigkeit nach SARS-CoV-2-Immunisierung mit dem Vektor-Impfstoff ChAdOx1-S (AstraZeneca COVID-19­Vakzin): Ergebnisse einer anonymen Umfrage.

Background: The SARS coronavirus 19 vaccine ChAdOx1­S (Vaxzevria, AstraZeneca) has been licensed since January 2021 by the Paul Ehrlich Institute for Germany. In several campaigns, healthcare workers and medical students were offered this vaccine on a voluntary basis. Aim: The primary endpoint of the study was to assess the rate and duration of the incapacity to work as a result of initial immunization with ChAdOx1­S. Secondary endpoints were type and severity of adverse events and self-perceived tolerability. Material and methods: Anonymized online questionnaire to be completed once by all vaccinated individuals after receiving the first dose of ChAdOx1­S. The severity of side effects was queried using an ordinal numerical rating scale with values ranging from 0 to 10. Other key data points were age, sex, and occupational group. Ability to work in the days following the injection was also assessed by self-reporting. Results: Data from 1988 respondents were analyzed. The mean age was 37.13 years (standard deviation 13.7 years). Of the respondents 69.8% were female, 48.1% belonged to therapeutic and technical professions with patient contact, 38% were students, 10.6% were nursing personnel and 4% were physicians. Only 14.4% of respondents reported having tolerated the vaccination without side effects. The most common side effect was fatigue, followed by pain at the injection site. This was followed in descending frequency by headache, aching limbs, and chills. After vaccination 18% of respondents felt able to return to work immediately, 51% of all respondents had to report themselves unfit for work for at least 1 day after vaccination. Side effects were more prevalent in male and younger respondents. Conclusion: Vaccination with ChAdOx1­S frequently resulted in side effects. These resulted in 37% of respondents reporting sick. Nevertheless, 89.6% of all respondents would choose coronavirus vaccination with ChAdOx1­S again.

Integration of sustained low-efficiency dialysis into extracorporeal membrane oxygenation circuit in critically ill COVID-19 patients: A feasibility study.

BACKGROUND: Severe COVID-19 can necessitate multiple organ support including veno-venous extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (vvECMO) and renal replacement therapy. The therapy can be complicated by venous thromboembolism due to COVID-19-related hypercoagulability, thus restricting vascular access beyond the vvECMO cannula. Although continuous renal replacement therapy can be performed via a vvECMO circuit, studies addressing sustained low-efficiency dialysis (SLED) integration into vvECMO circuits are scarce. Here we address the lack of evidence by evaluating feasibility of SLED integration into vvECMO circuits. METHODS: Retrospective cohort study on nine critically ill COVID-19 patients, treated with integrated ECMO-SLED on a single intensive care unit at a tertiary healthcare facility between December 2020 and November 2021. The SLED circuits were established between the accessory arterial oxygenator outlets of a double-oxygenator vvECMO setup. Data on filter survival, quality of dialysis, and volume management were collected and compared with an internal control group receiving single SLED. RESULTS: This study demonstrates general feasibility of SLED integration into existing vvECMO circuits. Filter lifespans of ECMO-SLED compared with single SLED are significantly prolonged (median 18.3 h vs. 10.3 h, p < 0.01). ECMO-SLED treatment is furthermore able to sufficiently normalize creatinine, blood urea nitrogen, and serum sodium, and allows for adequate ultrafiltration rates. CONCLUSIONS: We can show that ECMO-SLED is practical, safe, results in adequate dialysis quality and enables sufficient electrolyte and volume management. Our data indicate that SLED devices can serve as potential alternative to continuous-veno-venous-hemodialysis for integration in vvECMO circuits.

Subcutaneous Enoxaparin Safely Facilitates Bedside Sustained Low-Efficiency Hemodialysis in Hypercoagulopathic Coronavirus Disease 2019 Patients-A Proof-of-Principle Trial.

OBJECTIVES: Renal replacement therapy in coronavirus disease 2019 patients is complicated by increased activation of the coagulation system. This may worsen the quality of hemodialysis and contribute to a shortage of dialysis machines as well as plastic disposables during the pandemic. This study describes a simple and safe protocol of anticoagulation with low-molecular-weight heparin in combination with bedside sustained low-efficiency hemodialysis in coronavirus disease 2019 patients. DESIGN: Monocentric observational cross-over trial investigating sustained low-efficiency hemodialysis with unfractionated heparin following sustained low-efficiency hemodialysis with low-molecular-weight heparin. SETTING: Coronavirus disease 2019-ICU in a German Tertiary Care University Hospital. PATIENTS: Three consecutive severe coronavirus disease 2019 patients receiving nine sustained low-efficiency hemodialysis therapies with unfractionated heparin followed by 18 sustained low-efficiency hemodialysis therapies with low-molecular-weight heparin. INTERVENTIONS: Switch from IV unfractionated heparin to subcutaneous low-molecular-weight heparin enoxaparin in therapeutic doses for patients receiving bedside sustained low-efficiency hemodialysis. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Nine renal replacement therapy sessions in patients anticoagulated with high doses of unfractionated heparin had to be discontinuated prematurely because of clotting of tubes or membrane and poor quality of hemodialysis. In the same patients, the switch to anticoagulation with therapeutic doses of the low-molecular-weight heparin enoxaparin allowed undisturbed bedside sustained low-efficiency hemodialysis for at least 12 hours. Quality of hemodialysis was excellent, no bleeding event was observed. CONCLUSIONS: Systemic anticoagulation with subcutaneous enoxaparin provides an effective and safe renal replacement procedure in critically ill patients with coronavirus disease 2019 and hypercoagulability. The protocol reduces the risk of filter clotting, blood loss, and poor dialysis quality and may also prevent systemic thromboembolism.

Sevoflurane in combination with esketamine is an effective sedation regimen in COVID-19 patients enabling assisted spontaneous breathing even during prone positioning.

BACKGROUND: Effective analgosedation for control of dyspnoea and for toleration of prone positioning (PP) in severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) associated acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) is difficult to adjust. This study was designed to evaluate the feasibility and safety of sedation with inhaled sevoflurane in combination with intravenous esketamine during PP in patients with COVID-19-ARDS (CARDS). METHODS: All mechanically ventilated COVID-19 patients admitted to the departmental intensive care unit from March to June 2020 were included in this epidemiological cohort study. Patients were sedated with inhaled sevoflurane in combination with eske-tamine during PP and not or only lightly sedated during the supine position. Assisted spontaneous breathing was applied in both prone and supine position. RESULTS: Adverse events were documented prospectively, and routine ventilation parameters, hemodynamic parameters, Richmond Agitation and Sedation Scale (RASS) and sevoflurane consumption were monitored. Altogether, 146 episodes of PP in 15 patients were observed. No severe sedation-related event was observed during 2610 hours of PP. In 2498 hours (96%) patients were successfully converted to a pressure-supported spontaneous breathing mode. CONCLUSIONS: Inhaled sedation with the AnaConDa-S-System (Sedana Medical AB, Danderyd, Sweden) alone is insufficient as soon as minute volume exceeds 7-8 L min-1, most likely due to technical reasons. Inhaled sedation with sevoflurane in combination with esketamine, however, safely enables prolonged prone positioning in patients with CARDS. Moreover, sedation depth was light enough to enable assisted spontaneous breathing during prone positioning.

Acquired von Willebrand Syndrome and Desmopressin Resistance During Venovenous Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation in Patients With COVID-19: A Prospective Observational Study.

OBJECTIVES: Although COVID-19 is associated with high von Willebrand factor (vWF) parameters promoting thrombosis, venovenous extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (vvECMO) is associated with the development of acquired von Willebrand syndrome (AVWS) promoting bleeding. This study was designed to assess both the incidence and severity of AVWS in COVID-19 patients undergoing vvECMO, and the benefit of comprehensive vWF analyses. DESIGN: Prospective observational study. SETTING: ICU at a tertiary-care center. PATIENTS: Twenty-seven consecutive COVID-19 patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) requiring vvECMO. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Comprehensive vWF analyses (including sodium dodecyl-sulfate polyacrylamide gel electrophoresis) were performed before, during, and after vvECMO. In a subgroup of 12 patients with AVWS, effectiveness of treatment with desmopressin was assessed. The patients' mean age was 53 years (range, 23-73), 70% were male, and all had various comorbidities. Following markedly elevated vwf antigen (vWF: Ag; mean, 546% ( sd , 282]), vWF collagen binding capacity (mean, 469% [ sd , 271]), vWF activity (vWF:A; mean, 383% [ sd , 132]), and factor VIII activity (mean, 302% [ sd , 106]), and only borderline decreases in high-molecular-weight (HMW) vWF multimers before vvECMO, all of these variables decreased and HMW vWF multimers became undetectable within hours following initiation of vvECMO. All variables fully recovered within 3-38 hours after discontinuation of vvECMO. During vvECMO, decreases in the vWF:A/vWF:Ag ratio correlated with absent HMW vWF multimers. Desmopressin did not affect vWF parameters. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with COVID-19-associated ARDS, AVWS developed soon after initiation of vvECMO. The vWF:A/vWF:Ag ratio was a suitable screening test for AVWS. As desmopressin was ineffective, bleeding during vvECMO-associated AVWS should preferably be treated with concentrates containing vWF.

Results of the CAPSID randomized trial for high-dose convalescent plasma in patients with severe COVID-19.

BACKGROUNDCOVID-19 convalescent plasma (CCP) has been considered a treatment option for COVID-19. This trial assessed the efficacy of a neutralizing antibody containing high-dose CCP in hospitalized adults with COVID-19 requiring respiratory support or intensive care treatment.METHODSPatients (n = 105) were randomized 1:1 to either receive standard treatment and 3 units of CCP or standard treatment alone. Control group patients with progress on day 14 could cross over to the CCP group. The primary outcome was a dichotomous composite outcome of survival and no longer fulfilling criteria for severe COVID-19 on day 21.ResultsThe primary outcome occurred in 43.4% of patients in the CCP group and 32.7% in the control group (P = 0.32). The median time to clinical improvement was 26 days in the CCP group and 66 days in the control group (P = 0.27). The median time to discharge from the hospital was 31 days in the CCP group and 51 days in the control group (P = 0.24). In the subgroup that received a higher cumulative amount of neutralizing antibodies, the primary outcome occurred in 56.0% of the patients (vs. 32.1%), with significantly shorter intervals to clinical improvement (20 vs. 66 days, P < 0.05) and to hospital discharge (21 vs. 51 days, P = 0.03) and better survival (day-60 probability of survival 91.6% vs. 68.1%, P = 0.02) in comparison with the control group.ConclusionCCP added to standard treatment was not associated with a significant improvement in the primary and secondary outcomes. A predefined subgroup analysis showed a significant benefit of CCP among patients who received a larger amount of neutralizing antibodies.Trial registrationClinicalTrials.gov NCT04433910.FundingBundesministerium für Gesundheit (German Federal Ministry of Health): ZMVI1-2520COR802.

[Subjective well-being and ability to work of hospital staff after SARS-CoV2 immunization with the mRNA vaccine BNT162b2]. / Subjektives Wohlbefinden und Arbeitsfähigkeit von Krankenhauspersonal nach SARS-CoV-2-Immunisierung mit dem mRNS-Impfstoff BNT162b2 ­ Ergebnisse einer anonymen Umfrage.

BACKGROUND: Since December 27, 2020, employees of the health system in Germany have been vaccinated against the SARS coronavirus-2 with the vaccine BNT162B2. Initial observations show that especially among younger vaccinated people side effects are common. In this study, using the example of clinic employees, the self-perceived well-being after the first and second dose of the vaccine was examined. METHODS: Anonymized online questionnaire to be filled out once by all employees after the second dose of BNT162B2 was offered. The severity of side effects was queried using an ordinal numerical rating scale with values between 0 and 10. Other key data points were age, gender, and occupational group. The ability to work in the days following the injections was recorded by self-reporting. RESULTS: Data from 555 respondents were evaluated. The mean age was 40.25 years (standard deviation 12.35). 56 % of the respondents were female, 44.3 % belonged to the medical service, 42.9 % to the nursing service and 12.8 % were assigned to other professional groups with COVID-19 patient contact. Around 2 % of all employees did not experience any side effects at all. The most common side effect was pain at the injection site. Fatigue, headaches and myalgia followed with decreasing frequency. After the first dose, ¾ of the respondents said they had tolerated the vaccination well overall, after the second dose it was only half. After the first dose, over 90 % of the respondents felt that they were able to work again on the following day, after the second dose one third stated that they were only able to work again on the second day. 2.2 % of all employees had to report that they were unable to work for at least one day after the first dose and 19.5 % after the second dose. CONCLUSIONS: Vaccination with BNT162B2 frequently leads to side effects, especially after the second dose. Perception of side effects resulted in 19 % of those questioned being sick after the second dose. Nevertheless, 95 % of all respondents would choose a coronavirus vaccination again.

Hypercoagulopathy, acquired coagulation disorders and anticoagulation before, during and after extracorporeal membrane oxygenation in COVID-19: a case series.

BACKGROUND: Thromboembolism and bleeding contribute to Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)'s morbidity and mortality and are also frequent complications of venovenous extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (vvECMO). As the interaction of the underlying pathologies caused by vvECMO in COVID-19 is barely understood, we designed this study to better differentiate coagulation disorders in COVID-19 patients before, during and after vvECMO-support. METHODS: Observational case series, six consecutive patients with Coronavirus acute respiratory distress syndrome supported with vvECMO treated in the anaesthesiologic ICU in a third level University ECMO-centre. We measured routine coagulation parameters and assessed coagulation factors. We also conducted advanced von Willebrand factor (VWF) multimer analysis, platelet aggregometry and immunological screening. RESULTS: We identified various phases of coagulation disorders: Initially, intensely activated coagulation with highly increased VWF and factor VIII activity in acute COVID-19, then severe acquired von Willebrand syndrome and platelet dysfunction during vvECMO leading to spontaneous bleeding and finally, hypercoagulopathy after vvECMO explantation. Five of six patients developed immunological abnormalities enhancing coagulation. CONCLUSIONS: Coronavirus-induced coagulopathy and bleeding disorders during vvECMO cannot be discriminated via 'routine' coagulation tests. Precise and specific analyses followed by the appropriate treatment of coagulation disorders may help us develop tailored therapeutic concepts to better manage the phases described above.

Comparison of different anticoagulation strategies for renal replacement therapy in critically ill patients with COVID-19: a cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Critically ill coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients have a high risk of acute kidney injury (AKI) that requires renal replacement therapy (RRT). A state of hypercoagulability reduces circuit life spans. To maintain circuit patency and therapeutic efficiency, an optimized anticoagulation strategy is needed. This study investigates whether alternative anticoagulation strategies for RRT during COVID-19 are superior to administration of unfractionated heparin (UFH). METHODS: Retrospective cohort study on 71 critically ill COVID-19 patients (≥18 years), admitted to intensive care units at a tertiary health care facility in the southwestern part of Germany between February 26 and May 21, 2020. We collected data on the disease course, AKI, RRT, and thromboembolic events. Four different anticoagulatory regimens were administered. Anticoagulation during continuous veno-venous hemodialysis (CVVHD) was performed with UFH or citrate. Anticoagulation during sustained low-efficiency daily dialysis (SLEDD) was performed with UFH, argatroban, or low molecular weight heparin (LMWH). Primary outcome is the effect of the anticoagulation regimen on mean treatment times of RRT. RESULTS: In patients receiving CVVHD, mean treatment time in the UFH group was 21.3 h (SEM: ±5.6 h), in the citrate group 45.6 h (SEM: ±2.7 h). Citrate anticoagulation significantly prolonged treatment times by 24.4 h (P = .001). In patients receiving SLEDD, mean treatment time with UFH was 8.1 h (SEM: ±1.3 h), with argatroban 8.0 h (SEM: ±0.9 h), and with LMWH 11.8 h (SEM: ±0.5 h). LMWH significantly prolonged treatment times by 3.7 h (P = .008) and 3.8 h (P = .002), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: UFH fails to prevent early clotting events in the dialysis circuit during COVID-19. For patients, who do not require effective systemic anticoagulation, regional citrate dialysis is the most effective strategy. For patients, who require effective systemic anticoagulation, the usage of LMWH results in the longest circuit life spans. The proposed anticoagulatory strategies are safe, can easily be monitored, and allow an individualized treatment.

COVID-19 in-hospital mortality and mode of death in a dynamic and non-restricted tertiary care model in Germany.

BACKGROUND: Reported mortality of hospitalised Coronavirus Disease-2019 (COVID-19) patients varies substantially, particularly in critically ill patients. So far COVID-19 in-hospital mortality and modes of death under state of the art care have not been systematically studied. METHODS: This retrospective observational monocenter cohort study was performed after implementation of a non-restricted, dynamic tertiary care model at the University Medical Center Freiburg, an experienced acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) and extracorporeal membrane-oxygenation (ECMO) referral center. All hospitalised patients with PCR-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection were included. The primary endpoint was in-hospital mortality, secondary endpoints included major complications and modes of death. A multistate analysis and a Cox regression analysis for competing risk models were performed. Modes of death were determined by two independent reviewers. RESULTS: Between February 25, and May 8, 213 patients were included in the analysis. The median age was 65 years, 129 patients (61%) were male. 70 patients (33%) were admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU), of which 57 patients (81%) received mechanical ventilation and 23 patients (33%) ECMO support. Using multistate methodology, the estimated probability to die within 90 days after COVID-19 onset was 24% in the whole cohort. If the levels of care at time of study entry were accounted for, the probabilities to die were 16% if the patient was initially on a regular ward, 47% if in the intensive care unit (ICU) and 57% if mechanical ventilation was required at study entry. Age ≥65 years and male sex were predictors for in-hospital death. Predominant complications-as judged by two independent reviewers-determining modes of death were multi-organ failure, septic shock and thromboembolic and hemorrhagic complications. CONCLUSION: In a dynamic care model COVID-19-related in-hospital mortality remained very high. In the absence of potent antiviral agents, strategies to alleviate or prevent the identified complications should be investigated. In this context, multistate analyses enable comparison of models-of-care and treatment strategies and allow estimation and allocation of health care resources.